The Alaska Senate race has been interesting. Peltola is back in the lead at 74% counted. Last night, Sullivan was ahead. I have no idea what the systematic biases are like there, so I don't know if that's likely to continue or not.
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@TerryHancock Alaska is ranked-choice, right?
Looks like it's close enough that second-choice votes could swing it.
The American news media has absolutely no idea how to report on ranked choice elections. They just act like it's black magic that changes the vote totals at the last moment.
I see. That's probably why the Guardian wasn't calling it yet.
Of course, we probably don't have the stats on 2nd choices yet, I guess?
Well. I'll be curious to see how it comes out.
@TerryHancock
American elections are all run independently by each state, which means this stuff needs a large degree of local knowledge. And Alaska, due to it's geography, climate, ranked choice voting and a few other factors is a bit more unusual than most.
In general, with slowly trickling in results, the thing to look for two things: "Who is still counting/who is done" (by precinct, by county, rural - suburban -urban) and "what type of ballots are done/still being counted" (mail votes, early voting, election day -- some states offer all three, some two. I'm not sure if there are any states that only do election day, in person voting but there might be).
Because there is a significant political polarization between rural voters and urban voters, and one between early voters (including mail-in) and election day voters -- what's left and where they're from is one of the key things used by media and election watchers to determine results -- as the official count might not be finished for days.
You end up with states where, due how they count, you might see rural counties finished counting while urban counties are just starting.
Or you might quickly get the tallies of everyone who voted early or whose mailed-in ballots arrived prior to election day right away, but the election day votes will take hours.
I think they changed it, but In Pennsylvania they didn't even open mail-in ballots until election day proper, nor start processing and counting them until after the polls closed. So the election day voters were tallied quickly, the mail-in voters took days.